Langue:Français
Fabian Marozsan v Michael Zheng
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Prévision 43.51%2.30cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.739%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%43.71%43.45%45.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.172.202.2647.62%46.00%45.45%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Michael Zheng (Visiteur)
Prévision 56.49%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.652%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%56.29%56.55%57.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.681.671.7562.11%59.60%59.88%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fabian Marozsan (Local) : 43.51% ; Michael Zheng (Visiteur) : 56.49%. Pour Michael Zheng (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.77. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.75, pour une espérance de -1.14% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.67%E -0.739%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.97%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -4.71%E -2.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -1.14%E -0.652%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 20:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 20:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 12:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 08:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 08:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.92%E -4.86%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 20:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 20:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 15:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 20:43 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 20:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 20:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 1.9% | 2026-08-14 20:40 |