預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Fabian Marozsan v Michael Zheng

開賽時間: 2026-08-14 20:45 UTC

最終賽果: Fabian Marozsan 1–2 Michael Zheng

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

59 家博彩公司 (20 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Fabian Marozsan (主隊)

預測 43.51%2.30公平賠率
EV -1.67%
優勢 -0.739%
Kelly -1.32%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.26

博彩公司預測分布
42.41%43.71%43.45%45.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.102.172.202.2647.62%46.00%45.45%44.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Michael Zheng (客隊)

預測 56.49%1.77公平賠率
EV -1.14%
優勢 -0.652%
Kelly -1.52%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.75

博彩公司預測分布
54.83%56.29%56.55%57.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.611.681.671.7562.11%59.60%59.88%57.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Fabian Marozsan (主隊):43.51%;Michael Zheng (客隊):56.49%。 對於「Michael Zheng (客隊)」,該估計相當於1.77的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為1.75,期望值為-1.14%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (59 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.67%E -0.739%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-14 20:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.10%E -0.935%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 20:40
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.97%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.84%E -1.65%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 20:10
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 15:59
DraftKings🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 20:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.84%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:33
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 20:40
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:25
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:09
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:25
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:25
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:24
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:14
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:35
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 13:24
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 20:39
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 20:39
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 15:59
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.28%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 15:59
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -4.71%E -2.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -1.14%E -0.652%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 20:44
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.15%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 20:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -5.59%E -2.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 20:29
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 12:34
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 18:43
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:09
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 20:44
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 08:40
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.79%E -4.12%K -10.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.92%E -4.86%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 13:29
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 15:59
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 20:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 20:19
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:49
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.97%E -2.33%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 20:39
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 15:59
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 15:58
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.48%E -5.24%K -13.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 20:43
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.63%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 20:44
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-14 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-14 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-14 20:30
ProphetX◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%0.7%2026-08-14 20:25
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-14 20:40
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-08-14 20:40