Language:English
Denis Shapovalov v Adrian Mannarino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Prediction 53.98%1.85fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.38%54.04%53.96%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.761.771.8158.48%56.84%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visit)
Prediction 46.02%2.17fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.914%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.96%46.04%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.062.052.1550.51%48.52%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denis Shapovalov (Local): 53.98%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 46.02%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.30%E -1.27%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.43%E -1.15%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 18:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.89%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-13 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 18:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.03%E -3.48%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.88%E -4.48%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.92%E -2.20%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.03%E -3.48%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.00%E -2.84%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.19%E -2.52%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 18:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.81%E -1.82%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.05%E -0.489%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.05%E -0.489%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 18:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.70%E -4.50%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.70%E -4.50%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 15:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 18:30 |