Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denis Shapovalov v Adrian Mannarino

2026-08-13 14:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denis Shapovalov (Local)

Prediction 62.12%1.61fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%62.10%62.13%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.531.521.5766.67%65.57%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Visit)

Prediction 37.88%2.64fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -0.942%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.90%37.87%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.502.502.6042.02%40.04%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Denis Shapovalov (Local): 62.12%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 37.88%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.60, with an expected value of -1.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.47%E -1.58%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.16%E -1.64%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-12 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.47%E -1.58%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -4.16%E -1.64%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-12 17:55
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.10%E -1.98%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.89%E -0.728%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-12 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.72%E -2.40%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.51%E -0.580%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.72%E -2.40%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.27%E -0.878%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-12 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.72%E -2.40%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 18:44
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.34%E -2.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.40%E -1.33%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.34%E -2.82%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 15:40
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.54%E -1.80%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 18:39
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.92%E -1.96%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 15:39
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 18:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.19%E -2.93%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 15:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.19%E -2.93%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 18:44
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.08%E -3.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 18:39
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.96%E -3.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.84%E -4.14%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.58%E -3.67%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -4.54%E -1.80%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.58%E -3.67%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.58%E -3.67%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.58%E -3.67%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 15:39
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 16:30
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 16:30
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 16:35
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 16:34
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.20%E -4.11%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.30%E -2.12%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 17:04
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.51%E -0.580%K -0.942%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.19%E -2.93%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 15:39
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.82%E -4.55%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.19%E -2.93%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-08-12 18:40

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