Idioma:Español
Denis Shapovalov v Adrian Mannarino
Resultado del partido
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Predicción 61.99%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -3.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.80%62.04%62.03%63.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.531.531.5866.67%65.21%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 38.01%2.63momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.456%
Kelly -0.740%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%37.96%37.97%40.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.08%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Denis Shapovalov (Local): 61.99%; Adrian Mannarino (Visitante): 38.01%. Para Adrian Mannarino (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.63. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.60, con un valor esperado de -1.18%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -10.69%E -4.55%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 19:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -2.70%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.85%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-12 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -3.85%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-12 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.18%E -0.456%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-12 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.91%E -2.52%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.94%E -0.754%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-12 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.23%E -1.68%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 18:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.61%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.79%E -3.66%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.55%E -4.01%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.01%E -4.67%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.18%E -0.456%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.01%E -4.67%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.01%E -4.67%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.89%E -2.81%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-12 18:40 |
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