Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Denis Shapovalov v Adrian Mannarino

Inizio: 2026-08-13 18:35 UTC

Finale: Denis Shapovalov 2–0 Adrian Mannarino

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

41 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Denis Shapovalov (Casa)

Previsione 53.98%1.85quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -1.27%
Kelly -2.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.38%54.04%53.96%55.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.761.771.8158.48%56.84%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.02%2.17quota equa
EV -1.05%
Vantaggio -0.489%
Kelly -0.914%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.73%45.96%46.04%47.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.062.052.1550.51%48.52%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Denis Shapovalov (Casa): 53.98%; Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta): 46.02%. Per Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.17. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.15, con un valore atteso del -1.05%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.30%E -1.27%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.43%E -1.15%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-13 18:09
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.89%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-13 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 18:24
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.03%E -3.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -2.84%E -1.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.88%E -4.48%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 18:24
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.92%E -2.20%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.03%E -3.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:35
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:34
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:34
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:30
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:34
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.46%E -2.52%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.00%E -2.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.19%E -2.52%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 18:03
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.81%E -1.82%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-13 17:34
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.54%E -3.17%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.05%E -0.489%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.05%E -0.489%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-13 17:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 17:29
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 17:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.65%E -2.76%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 17:35
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.08%E -3.49%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 18:25
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 17:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.62%E -3.83%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.95%E -3.98%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 18:24
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.70%E -4.50%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 17:35
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.70%E -4.50%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.35%E -1.60%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 15:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-08-13 18:30