语言:简体中文
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Zizou Bergs
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)
预测 53.76%1.86公平赔率
EV -1.63%
优势 -0.889%
Kelly -1.96%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.83
博彩公司预测分布
52.00%53.78%53.66%55.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.771.781.8359.88%56.62%56.18%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
Zizou Bergs (客队)
预测 46.24%2.16公平赔率
EV +1.27%
优势 +0.582%
Kelly +1.07%
增长率 +0.014%
假设最高赔率为 2.19
博彩公司预测分布
44.07%46.22%46.34%48.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.042.052.1951.28%48.91%48.78%45.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)：53.76%；Zizou Bergs (客队)：46.24%。 对于“Zizou Bergs (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.16。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.19，对应+1.27%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -5.93%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV +1.27%E +0.582%K +1.07%G +0.014% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +0.812%E +0.372%K +0.688%G +0.006% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +0.812%E +0.372%K +0.688%G +0.006% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -8.08%E -4.72%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV +0.349%E +0.161%K +0.299%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.46%E -3.72%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.576%E -0.268%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.08%E -4.72%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.81%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.74%E -2.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.74%E -2.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.39%E -3.06%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.93%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.93%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.93%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.46%E -3.72%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.46%E -3.72%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.46%E -3.72%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.66%E -2.78%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.63%E -0.889%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.63%E -0.889%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 19:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 13:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 20:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 20:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.82%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 20:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |