Sprache:Deutsch
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Zizou Bergs
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim)
Prognose 53.76%1.86faire Quote
EV -1.63%
Vorteil -0.889%
Kelly -1.96%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.83
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.00%53.78%53.66%55.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.671.771.781.8359.88%56.62%56.18%54.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Zizou Bergs (Auswärts)
Prognose 46.24%2.16faire Quote
EV +1.27%
Vorteil +0.582%
Kelly +1.07%
Wachstum +0.014%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.19
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.07%46.22%46.34%48.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.952.042.052.1951.28%48.91%48.78%45.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim): 53.76%; Zizou Bergs (Auswärts): 46.24%. Für Zizou Bergs (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.16. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.19 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.27%.
Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -5.93%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV +1.27%E +0.582%K +1.07%G +0.014% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +0.812%E +0.372%K +0.688%G +0.006% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +0.812%E +0.372%K +0.688%G +0.006% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -8.08%E -4.72%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV +0.349%E +0.161%K +0.299%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.46%E -3.72%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.576%E -0.268%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 19:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.08%E -4.72%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.23%E -6.12%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.89%E -1.38%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.81%E -1.83%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.74%E -2.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.74%E -2.30%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.39%E -3.06%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.93%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.93%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.93%E -3.39%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.46%E -3.72%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.46%E -3.72%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.46%E -3.72%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.61%E -5.07%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.20%E -2.54%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 20:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -5.66%E -2.78%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.31%E -2.42%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.59%E -3.26%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.63%E -0.889%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 10:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.63%E -0.889%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 19:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 13:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 20:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.00%E -4.05%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 20:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.54%E -4.38%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.51%E -3.76%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 06:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -4.85%E -2.74%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -9.36%E -4.78%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 08:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.24%E -1.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.82%E -5.04%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 10:26 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 20:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 20:45 |