StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Fils v Alex de Minaur

Matchstart: 2026-08-19 19:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Arthur Fils 2–0 Alex de Minaur

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Fils (Hemma)

Prognos 61.07%1.64rättvist odds
EV -1.67%
Fördel -1.04%
Kelly -2.74%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.61

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
59.28%61.18%61.05%62.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.471.561.561.6168.03%64.30%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Borta)

Prognos 38.93%2.57rättvist odds
EV -1.13%
Fördel -0.443%
Kelly -0.731%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.54

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.03%38.82%38.95%40.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.442.432.5443.48%41.05%41.15%39.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Arthur Fils (Hemma): 61.07%; Alex de Minaur (Borta): 38.93%. För Alex de Minaur (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.57. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.54, med väntevärdet -1.13%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.67%E -1.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 19:05
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-18 12:45
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.85%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-19 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.89%E -1.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.89%E -1.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 19:00
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.13%E -0.443%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-19 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 11:20
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.52%E -3.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 18:55
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.47%E -4.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 18:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 08:39
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 08:39
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 18:25
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 10:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 09:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 09:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 13:05
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 18:59
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 08:39
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 08:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 08:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 13:00
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 19:00
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.52%E -3.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.52%E -3.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.90%E -0.756%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.29%E -0.914%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.85%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.85%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 18:53
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 17:05
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 17:10
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 08:39
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 12:54
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.22%E -6.95%K -21.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 12:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-19 19:05
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-19 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-19 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-19 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-19 19:05
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.5%2026-08-19 19:05
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-08-19 19:05