Idioma:Español
Arthur Fils v Alex de Minaur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Fils (Local)
Predicción 61.07%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.28%61.18%61.05%62.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.561.561.6168.03%64.30%64.10%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 38.93%2.57momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.443%
Kelly -0.731%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.03%38.82%38.95%40.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.432.5443.48%41.05%41.15%39.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arthur Fils (Local): 61.07%; Alex de Minaur (Visitante): 38.93%. Para Alex de Minaur (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.57. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.54, con un valor esperado de -1.13%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.67%E -1.04%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-19 19:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-18 12:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.85%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.89%E -1.82%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.89%E -1.82%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.13%E -0.443%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.52%E -3.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.47%E -4.55%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 18:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 08:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 08:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 18:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 10:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 12:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 18:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 08:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 11:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 12:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 08:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.52%E -3.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.52%E -3.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.90%E -0.756%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.29%E -0.914%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.85%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 08:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.85%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 18:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 12:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 08:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 12:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.22%E -6.95%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-18 12:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 19:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90% | 1.5% | 2026-08-19 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 2.6% | 2026-08-19 19:05 |