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Arthur Fils v Alex de Minaur

Inizio: 2026-08-19 19:30 UTC

Finale: Arthur Fils 2–0 Alex de Minaur

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arthur Fils (Casa)

Previsione 61.07%1.64quota equa
EV -1.67%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.28%61.18%61.05%62.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.561.561.6168.03%64.30%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.93%2.57quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.443%
Kelly -0.731%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.03%38.82%38.95%40.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.442.432.5443.48%41.05%41.15%39.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Arthur Fils (Casa): 61.07%; Alex de Minaur (Trasferta): 38.93%. Per Alex de Minaur (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.57. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.54, con un valore atteso del -1.13%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.67%E -1.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-19 19:05
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-18 12:45
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.85%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-19 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.89%E -1.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.89%E -1.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 19:00
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%EV -1.13%E -0.443%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-19 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-19 11:20
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.52%E -3.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 18:55
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.50%E -2.22%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.47%E -4.55%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 18:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-19 08:39
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 08:39
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 18:25
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-19 18:54
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 10:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 09:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 09:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.12%E -2.62%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 13:05
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 18:59
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 08:39
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 08:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.41%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 08:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 13:00
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 19:00
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.52%E -3.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.34%E -3.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.52%E -3.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.90%E -0.756%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.29%E -0.914%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-19 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.85%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.85%E -1.56%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 18:53
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 17:05
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 17:10
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.58%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 08:39
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.35%E -3.09%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 12:54
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.39%E -5.59%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.22%E -6.95%K -21.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-18 12:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-19 19:05
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-19 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-19 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-19 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-19 19:05
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.5%2026-08-19 19:05
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-08-19 19:05