Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev v Terence Atmane

Kickoff: 2026-08-17 23:45 UTC

Final: Alexander Zverev 2–0 Terence Atmane

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prediction 82.77%1.21fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -12.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.58%82.72%82.83%84.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.141.141.1890.09%87.37%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Terence Atmane (Visit)

Prediction 17.23%5.80fair odd
EV +3.38%
Edge +0.564%
Kelly +0.677%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.61%17.28%17.17%20.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.475.506.0021.74%18.28%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 82.77%; Terence Atmane (Visit): 17.23%. For Terence Atmane (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.80. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023%6.8%2026-08-17 23:39
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023%6.8%2026-08-17 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023%6.8%2026-08-17 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023%6.8%2026-08-17 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.76%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.24%EV +1.32%E +0.224%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.7%2026-08-17 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-17 23:28
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:09
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.16%E -2.70%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -1.79%E -0.313%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.82%EV -2.33%E -1.98%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 17.18%EV -1.96%E -0.344%K -0.418%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -3.34%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -3.34%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.51%E -0.627%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 23:30
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -4.37%E -0.787%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:02
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 19:54
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 11:43
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 04:55
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.47%E -5.73%K -49.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 23:00
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.30%E -6.52%K -60.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 07:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -6.09%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.30%E -6.52%K -60.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.96%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 13:20
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.68%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:29
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.68%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:29
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.68%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 12:49
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 12:29
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 23:09
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -7.30%E -6.52%K -60.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.16%E -2.70%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.16%E -2.70%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 22:14
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 09:39
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 09:39
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 23:30
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 22:14
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.47%E -5.73%K -49.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.33%E -1.98%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.74%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 09:39
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.33%E -1.98%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.74%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 09:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-08-17 23:30
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.78%0.6%2026-08-17 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-08-17 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-08-17 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-08-17 23:40
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-08-17 23:40
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-08-17 23:40