Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alexander Zverev (Local): 82.77%; Terence Atmane (Visitante): 17.23%. Para Terence Atmane (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.80. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.38%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 23:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.76%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.24%EV +1.32%E +0.224%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 23:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.16%E -2.70%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -1.79%E -0.313%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.82%EV -2.33%E -1.98%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 17.18%EV -1.96%E -0.344%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-17 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -3.34%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -3.34%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-17 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.51%E -0.627%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -4.37%E -0.787%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 13:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 11:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 04:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.47%E -5.73%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.30%E -6.52%K -60.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-17 07:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -6.09%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.30%E -6.52%K -60.82%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.96%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.68%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.68%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.68%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 12:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 12:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -7.30%E -6.52%K -60.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.16%E -2.70%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.16%E -2.70%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 22:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 09:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 09:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 09:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 23:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 22:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.47%E -5.73%K -49.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-17 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.33%E -1.98%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.74%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 09:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.33%E -1.98%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.74%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 09:39 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-08-17 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 23:40 |