Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev v Terence Atmane

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-17 23:45 UTC

Score final : Alexander Zverev 2–0 Terence Atmane

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 82.77%1.21cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -12.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.58%82.72%82.83%84.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.111.141.141.1890.09%87.37%87.72%84.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Terence Atmane (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.23%5.80cote équitable
EV +3.38%
Avantage +0.564%
Kelly +0.677%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.61%17.28%17.17%20.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.475.506.0021.74%18.28%18.18%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alexander Zverev (Local) : 82.77% ; Terence Atmane (Visiteur) : 17.23%. Pour Terence Atmane (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.80. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.38%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023%6.8%2026-08-17 23:39
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023%6.8%2026-08-17 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023%6.8%2026-08-17 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.13%E -7.32%K -73.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.38%E +0.564%K +0.677%G +0.023%6.8%2026-08-17 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.76%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.24%EV +1.32%E +0.224%K +0.270%G +0.004%4.7%2026-08-17 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-17 23:28
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -0.063%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:09
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.924%E -0.161%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:19
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.16%E -2.70%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV -1.79%E -0.313%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.82%EV -2.33%E -1.98%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 17.18%EV -1.96%E -0.344%K -0.418%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -3.34%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -3.34%E -0.595%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.51%E -0.627%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 23:30
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -4.37%E -0.787%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 13:02
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 19:54
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 11:43
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 04:55
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.47%E -5.73%K -49.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 23:00
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.30%E -6.52%K -60.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.23%E -0.951%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 07:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.58%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -6.09%E -1.12%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.30%E -6.52%K -60.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -6.96%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 13:20
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.68%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:29
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.68%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:29
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -8.68%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 12:49
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.54%E -1.82%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 12:29
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 23:09
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -7.30%E -6.52%K -60.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.40%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.16%E -2.70%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.16%E -2.70%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 22:14
theScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.99%E -3.44%K -24.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 09:39
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.82%E -4.19%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 09:39
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 23:30
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 22:14
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.64%E -4.95%K -40.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.47%E -5.73%K -49.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.85%E -2.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.33%E -1.98%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.74%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 09:39
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.33%E -1.98%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.74%E -4.51%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 09:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-08-17 23:30
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.22%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.78%0.6%2026-08-17 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-08-17 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-08-17 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-08-17 23:40
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-08-17 23:40
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%3.1%2026-08-17 23:40