语言:简体中文
Adam Walton v Nicolas Mejia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Adam Walton (主队)
预测 63.41%1.58公平赔率
EV -2.98%
优势 -1.95%
Kelly -5.62%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.53
博彩公司预测分布
62.03%63.46%63.41%66.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.411.481.501.5370.92%67.46%66.67%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
Nicolas Mejia (客队)
预测 36.59%2.73公平赔率
EV +2.45%
优势 +0.873%
Kelly +1.36%
增长率 +0.033%
假设最高赔率为 2.80
博彩公司预测分布
33.81%36.54%36.59%37.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.612.602.8040.82%38.30%38.46%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Adam Walton (主队)：63.41%；Nicolas Mejia (客队)：36.59%。 对于“Nicolas Mejia (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.73。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.80，对应+2.45%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 20:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 20:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 20:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 20:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.61%E -2.38%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.21%E -0.449%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 20:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.25%E -2.81%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.21%E -0.449%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.25%E -2.81%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.21%E -0.449%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.21%E -0.449%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -10.59%E -7.51%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -1.21%E -0.449%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.31%E -0.866%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-14 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.52%E -3.70%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -2.31%E -0.866%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.61%E -2.38%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.04%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-14 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.04%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 14:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.04%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.05%E -5.55%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.04%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-14 07:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.14%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.14%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.15%E -4.16%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.15%E -4.16%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.15%E -4.16%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.78%E -4.61%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.97%E -2.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 07:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.61%E -2.38%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.25%E -2.81%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.25%E -2.81%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 20:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 20:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 20:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.15%E -4.16%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.05%E -5.55%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-14 14:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 20:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 19:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.05%E -5.55%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 20:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.05%E -5.55%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 20:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 20:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.78%E -4.61%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.36%E -4.23%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.78%E -4.61%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.36%E -4.23%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 20:23 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 20:20 |