StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Adam Walton v Nicolas Mejia

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-14 20:25 UTC

Endstand: Adam Walton 2–0 Nicolas Mejia

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Adam Walton (Heim)

Prognose 63.41%1.58faire Quote
EV -2.98%
Vorteil -1.95%
Kelly -5.62%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.53

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
62.03%63.46%63.41%66.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.411.481.501.5370.92%67.46%66.67%65.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Nicolas Mejia (Auswärts)

Prognose 36.59%2.73faire Quote
EV +2.45%
Vorteil +0.873%
Kelly +1.36%
Wachstum +0.033%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.80

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.81%36.54%36.59%37.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.452.612.602.8040.82%38.30%38.46%35.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Adam Walton (Heim): 63.41%; Nicolas Mejia (Auswärts): 36.59%. Für Nicolas Mejia (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.73. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.80 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.45%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033%5.2%2026-08-14 20:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033%5.2%2026-08-14 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033%5.2%2026-08-14 20:24
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033%5.6%2026-08-14 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033%5.6%2026-08-14 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033%5.6%2026-08-14 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033%5.6%2026-08-14 20:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033%5.6%2026-08-14 20:20
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033%5.6%2026-08-14 20:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033%5.6%2026-08-14 20:24
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.32%E -6.52%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.45%E +0.873%K +1.36%G +0.033%5.6%2026-08-14 20:20
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.61%E -2.38%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.21%E -0.449%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 20:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.25%E -2.81%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.21%E -0.449%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.25%E -2.81%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.21%E -0.449%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 13:39
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.21%E -0.449%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -10.59%E -7.51%K -25.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -1.21%E -0.449%K -0.714%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 20:20
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.31%E -0.866%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -5.52%E -3.70%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -2.31%E -0.866%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.61%E -2.38%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.04%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 19:14
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.04%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:02
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.04%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:50
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.05%E -5.55%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.04%E -1.15%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:43
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.41%E -1.29%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 07:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -3.77%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 07:14
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.14%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 20:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.14%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 14:54
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 20:20
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.15%E -4.16%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:25
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.15%E -4.16%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.15%E -4.16%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.87%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.78%E -4.61%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.97%E -2.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.61%E -2.38%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 16:30
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.25%E -2.81%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.25%E -2.81%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 20:20
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 20:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 20:19
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 20:19
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.15%E -4.16%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.05%E -5.55%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.70%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 14:09
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:34
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:35
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:34
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.98%E -1.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:29
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 20:14
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 19:04
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 20:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 16:24
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.88%E -3.25%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.05%E -5.55%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 20:24
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.05%E -5.55%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 20:19
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.69%E -6.03%K -19.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.53%E -3.41%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 20:24
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.78%E -4.61%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.36%E -4.23%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.78%E -4.61%K -14.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.36%E -4.23%K -7.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 20:23
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-08-14 20:20
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-14 20:20
ProphetX◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-08-14 20:20
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-08-14 20:20