语言:简体中文
Adam Walton v Ignacio Buse
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Adam Walton (主队)
预测 59.43%1.68公平赔率
EV -2.53%
优势 -1.54%
Kelly -3.95%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.64
博彩公司预测分布
58.14%59.49%59.45%61.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.33%63.69%60.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ignacio Buse (客队)
预测 40.57%2.47公平赔率
EV -1.43%
优势 -0.587%
Kelly -0.997%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.43
博彩公司预测分布
38.93%40.51%40.55%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.352.352.4345.45%42.60%42.55%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Adam Walton (主队)：59.43%；Ignacio Buse (客队)：40.57%。 对于“Ignacio Buse (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.47。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.43，期望值为-1.43%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.53%E -1.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -2.24%E -0.928%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 22:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -8.32%E -3.68%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.43%E -0.587%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 22:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.07%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.07%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.07%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 20:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -5.08%E -2.17%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 22:36 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 11:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 22:33 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 22:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.88%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.88%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.88%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.50%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 12:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:42 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 22:11 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.66%E -6.35%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 22:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |