Idioma:Español
Adam Walton v Ignacio Buse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Adam Walton (Local)
Predicción 59.43%1.68momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -3.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%59.49%59.45%61.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.33%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ignacio Buse (Visitante)
Predicción 40.57%2.47momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.587%
Kelly -0.997%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.93%40.51%40.55%41.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.352.4345.45%42.60%42.55%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Adam Walton (Local): 59.43%; Ignacio Buse (Visitante): 40.57%. Para Ignacio Buse (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.47. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.43, con un valor esperado de -1.43%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.53%E -1.54%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -2.24%E -0.928%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 22:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-16 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 09:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -8.32%E -3.68%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.43%E -0.587%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 21:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 22:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.07%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.07%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.07%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 20:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -5.08%E -2.17%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 22:36 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 11:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 22:33 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 22:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 22:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.88%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.88%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.88%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.50%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 12:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:42 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 22:11 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.66%E -6.35%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 21:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 22:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 22:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 22:35 |