Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Adam Walton v Ignacio Buse

Początek: 2026-08-16 22:40 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Adam Walton 2–0 Ignacio Buse

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Adam Walton (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 59.43%1.68kurs godziwy
EV -2.53%
Przewaga -1.54%
Kelly -3.95%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.14%59.49%59.45%61.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.33%63.69%60.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ignacio Buse (Goście)

Prognoza 40.57%2.47kurs godziwy
EV -1.43%
Przewaga -0.587%
Kelly -0.997%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.43

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.93%40.51%40.55%41.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.352.352.4345.45%42.60%42.55%41.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Adam Walton (Gospodarze): 59.43%; Ignacio Buse (Goście): 40.57%. Dla wyniku Ignacio Buse (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.47. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.43, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.43%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.53%E -1.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -2.24%E -0.928%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 22:29
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 09:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 22:34
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -8.32%E -3.68%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.72%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.43%E -0.587%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 22:34
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 21:59
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 22:38
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:10
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:34
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.90%E -3.07%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:34
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 22:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 11:54
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 20:29
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 16:50
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -5.08%E -2.17%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 22:35
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 22:29
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 22:19
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 22:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 22:29
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 11:14
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 11:19
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:24
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.29%E -2.72%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 21:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 22:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 22:33
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 22:33
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 22:34
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 21:55
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.73%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 21:54
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:49
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:45
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:45
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:49
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:49
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:45
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.88%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 22:20
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.88%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.88%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 11:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.47%E -5.50%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 12:49
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:42
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 22:11
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.70%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 22:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.66%E -6.35%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 21:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-16 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-16 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-16 22:25
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-16 22:25
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-16 22:25
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-08-16 22:35
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-08-16 22:35