Language:English
Andrey Rublev v Roman Safiullin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Andrey Rublev (Local)
Prediction 56.43%1.77fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.36%56.43%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.681.7462.50%59.56%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Roman Safiullin (Visit)
Prediction 43.57%2.29fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.64%43.57%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.172.2648.78%46.21%45.98%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrey Rublev (Local): 56.43%; Roman Safiullin (Visit): 43.57%. For Roman Safiullin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.26, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.83%E -1.27%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-10-03 04:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 04:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 04:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.88%E -2.72%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 04:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.62%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 04:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 05:21 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 05:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 05:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 05:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 05:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.38%E -1.38%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 05:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.70%E -1.68%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 05:11 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 07:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 05:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 04:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.07%E -2.40%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.67%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 05:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.57%E -2.09%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 04:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.64%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 01:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.01%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 04:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 05:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 04:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.20%E -3.10%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 05:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 06:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 06:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 06:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 05:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.77%E -3.45%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -6.33%E -3.81%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -1.52%E -0.674%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.33%E -3.81%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 07:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.90%E -4.18%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -8.02%E -4.92%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-01 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.59%E -5.30%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.15%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 05:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.15%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 05:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -9.15%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -5.45%E -2.51%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 05:27 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.15%E -5.69%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-01 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.72%E -6.07%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.14%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 04:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.72%E -6.07%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-02 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-10-03 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-10-03 04:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-10-03 04:46 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-10-03 05:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 05:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-10-03 04:46 |