StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Andrey Rublev v Roman Safiullin

2026-10-03 03:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Andrey Rublev (Heim)

Prognose 56.04%1.78faire Quote
EV -3.61%
Vorteil -2.10%
Kelly -5.02%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.72

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.97%56.10%56.03%57.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.561.671.671.7264.10%59.75%59.88%58.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Roman Safiullin (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.96%2.27faire Quote
EV -1.96%
Vorteil -0.881%
Kelly -1.60%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.23

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.62%43.90%43.97%45.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.162.152.2350.00%46.38%46.51%44.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Andrey Rublev (Heim): 56.04%; Roman Safiullin (Auswärts): 43.96%. Für Roman Safiullin (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.27. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.23, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.96%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.61%E -2.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.96%E -0.881%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-01 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.61%E -2.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 19:29
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.61%E -2.10%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 19:30
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-01 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-01 19:19
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-01 19:25
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.17%E -2.44%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 17:34
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.74%E -2.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 19:35
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.74%E -2.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 16:10
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.74%E -2.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.74%E -2.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 19:03
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.74%E -2.79%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.30%E -3.13%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.30%E -3.13%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.30%E -3.13%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.86%E -3.49%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 15:40
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.86%E -3.49%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.16%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.86%E -3.49%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.60%E -2.12%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.86%E -3.49%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 19:34
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.86%E -3.49%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.86%E -3.49%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 16:10
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.86%E -3.49%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.86%E -3.49%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 18:40
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:45
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:29
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:30
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:29
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:30
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-01 19:30
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-01 20:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-01 17:45
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-01 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.42%E -3.84%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-01 18:55
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 17:35
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.54%E -4.57%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-01 17:45
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.10%E -4.94%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -10.32%E -5.06%K -9.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-01 16:10
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -8.66%E -5.31%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-01 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.22%E -5.69%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 16:16
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.22%E -5.69%K -14.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -12.08%E -6.04%K -12.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-01 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.78%E -6.07%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -12.58%E -8.06%K -22.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-01 16:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 56.85%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%3.5%2026-10-01 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 56.85%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%3.5%2026-10-01 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 56.85%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%3.5%2026-10-01 19:10
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%10.2%2026-10-01 19:39
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 55.12%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.88%12.0%2026-10-01 17:40