默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexander Zverev v Juncheng Shang

2026-10-03 03:00 UTC — ATP China Open

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alexander Zverev (主队)

预测 87.30%1.15公平赔率
EV -3.10%
优势 -2.79%
Kelly -28.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.11

博彩公司预测分布
84.55%87.35%87.03%89.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.051.091.081.1195.24%92.04%92.59%90.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

Juncheng Shang (客队)

预测 12.70%7.87公平赔率
EV +17.24%
优势 +1.87%
Kelly +2.09%
增长率 +0.361%

假设最高赔率为 9.23

博彩公司预测分布
10.48%12.65%12.97%15.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.807.197.009.2317.24%13.91%14.29%10.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Alexander Zverev (主队):87.30%;Juncheng Shang (客队):12.70%。 对于“Juncheng Shang (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.87。 有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为9.23,由此产生+17.24%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.52%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%9.23I 10.83%NM 10.48%EV +17.24%E +1.87%K +2.09%G +0.361%3.4%2026-10-01 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +15.59%E +1.71%K +1.92%G +0.300%4.4%2026-10-01 13:15
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.96%E +0.937%K +1.06%G +0.085%5.2%2026-10-01 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +2.88%E +0.356%K +0.406%G +0.012%4.9%2026-10-01 13:55
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%5.1%2026-10-01 15:14
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%5.1%2026-10-01 13:23
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.0%2026-10-01 15:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.8%2026-10-01 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.8%2026-10-01 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.8%2026-10-01 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.34%E -7.94%K -166.74%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV -0.926%E -0.119%K -0.136%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 13:05
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 13:40
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.08%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.92%EV -4.99%E -0.667%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-01 14:59
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.83%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -5.37%E -0.721%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.83%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -7.28%E -0.997%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 13:40
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.32%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -7.28%E -0.997%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 14:59
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -7.91%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.55%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.55%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.55%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-01 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 13:55
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.72%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV -12.99%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.44%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.44%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.44%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:30
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -22.52%E -3.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-01 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -22.52%E -3.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -8.34%E -7.94%K -166.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -23.79%E -3.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-01 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.55%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -26.33%E -4.54%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-01 14:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Matchbook◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 14:15
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%10.0%2026-10-01 13:40