Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev v Juncheng Shang

2026-10-03 03:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 87.30%1.15cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -2.79%
Kelly -28.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.55%87.35%87.03%89.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.051.091.081.1195.24%92.04%92.59%90.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Juncheng Shang (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.70%7.87cote équitable
EV +17.24%
Avantage +1.87%
Kelly +2.09%
Croissance +0.361%

avec la cote maximale 9.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.48%12.65%12.97%15.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.807.197.009.2317.24%13.91%14.29%10.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alexander Zverev (Local) : 87.30% ; Juncheng Shang (Visiteur) : 12.70%. Pour Juncheng Shang (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 7.87. 10 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 9.23, pour une espérance positive de +17.24%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.52%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%9.23I 10.83%NM 10.48%EV +17.24%E +1.87%K +2.09%G +0.361%3.4%2026-10-01 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +15.59%E +1.71%K +1.92%G +0.300%4.4%2026-10-01 13:15
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.96%E +0.937%K +1.06%G +0.085%5.2%2026-10-01 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +2.88%E +0.356%K +0.406%G +0.012%4.9%2026-10-01 13:55
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%5.1%2026-10-01 15:14
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%5.1%2026-10-01 13:23
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.0%2026-10-01 15:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.8%2026-10-01 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.8%2026-10-01 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.8%2026-10-01 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.34%E -7.94%K -166.74%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV -0.926%E -0.119%K -0.136%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 13:05
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 13:40
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.08%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.92%EV -4.99%E -0.667%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-01 14:59
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.83%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -5.37%E -0.721%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.83%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -7.28%E -0.997%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 13:40
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.32%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -7.28%E -0.997%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 14:59
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -7.91%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.55%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.55%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.55%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-01 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 13:55
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.72%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV -12.99%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.44%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.44%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.44%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:30
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -22.52%E -3.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-01 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -22.52%E -3.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -8.34%E -7.94%K -166.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -23.79%E -3.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-01 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.55%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -26.33%E -4.54%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-01 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Matchbook◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 14:15
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%10.0%2026-10-01 13:40