StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Zverev v Juncheng Shang

2026-10-03 03:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Zverev (Heim)

Prognose 87.30%1.15faire Quote
EV -3.10%
Vorteil -2.79%
Kelly -28.17%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.11

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
84.55%87.35%87.03%89.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.051.091.081.1195.24%92.04%92.59%90.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Juncheng Shang (Auswärts)

Prognose 12.70%7.87faire Quote
EV +17.24%
Vorteil +1.87%
Kelly +2.09%
Wachstum +0.361%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.23

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.48%12.65%12.97%15.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.807.197.009.2317.24%13.91%14.29%10.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Alexander Zverev (Heim): 87.30%; Juncheng Shang (Auswärts): 12.70%. Für Juncheng Shang (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.87. 10 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 9.23 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +17.24%.

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.52%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%9.23I 10.83%NM 10.48%EV +17.24%E +1.87%K +2.09%G +0.361%3.4%2026-10-01 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +15.59%E +1.71%K +1.92%G +0.300%4.4%2026-10-01 13:15
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.96%E +0.937%K +1.06%G +0.085%5.2%2026-10-01 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +2.88%E +0.356%K +0.406%G +0.012%4.9%2026-10-01 13:55
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%5.1%2026-10-01 15:14
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%5.1%2026-10-01 13:23
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.0%2026-10-01 15:00
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.8%2026-10-01 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.8%2026-10-01 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +1.61%E +0.202%K +0.231%G +0.004%6.8%2026-10-01 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.34%E -7.94%K -166.74%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV -0.926%E -0.119%K -0.136%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 13:05
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 14:30
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.74%E -0.632%K -0.729%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 13:40
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.08%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.92%EV -4.99%E -0.667%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-01 14:59
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.83%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -5.37%E -0.721%K -0.833%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.83%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -7.28%E -0.997%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 13:40
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.32%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.68%EV -7.28%E -0.997%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 14:59
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -7.91%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.55%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.55%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-01 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -8.55%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-01 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 13:55
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.09%E -1.58%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.72%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV -12.99%E -1.90%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.10%E -2.79%K -28.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -14.26%E -2.11%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 14:30
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.44%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.44%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.72%E -5.29%K -71.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.44%E -2.68%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 13:30
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -22.52%E -3.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-01 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -6.59%E -6.16%K -94.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -22.52%E -3.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -8.34%E -7.94%K -166.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -23.79%E -3.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-01 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.55%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -26.33%E -4.54%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-01 14:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 15:00
Matchbook◎1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%5.1%2026-10-01 14:15
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%10.0%2026-10-01 13:40