Language:English
Zachary Svajda v Denis Shapovalov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Prediction 41.89%2.39fair odd
EV -0.296%
Edge -0.124%
Kelly -0.214%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%41.93%41.86%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.262.272.3845.87%44.26%44.05%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denis Shapovalov (Visit)
Prediction 58.11%1.72fair odd
EV -0.636%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.896%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.33%58.07%58.14%59.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.7164.52%61.24%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zachary Svajda (Local): 41.89%; Denis Shapovalov (Visit): 58.11%. For Zachary Svajda (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -0.296%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.296%E -0.124%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 16:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.55%E -0.661%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.55%E -0.661%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.23%E -1.40%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 16:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 16:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 12:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.61%E -4.79%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.93%E -6.41%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.07%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.38%E -1.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.38%E -1.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.22%E -0.716%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 16:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -0.636%E -0.372%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.58%E -2.95%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 08:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 08:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 08:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 08:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.54%E -2.13%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.45%E -4.00%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 16:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 16:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 13:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 13:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.77%E -5.59%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-04 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -8.67%E -3.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -1.80%E -1.06%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 16:55 |
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