Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zachary Svajda v Denis Shapovalov

2026-08-02 13:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

44%

56%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zachary Svajda (Local)

Prediction 44.34%2.26fair odd

EV -2.45%

Edge -1.11%

Kelly -2.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.73%44.33%44.27%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.152.152.2048.78%46.47%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denis Shapovalov (Visit)

Prediction 55.66%1.80fair odd

EV -3.16%

Edge -1.81%

Kelly -4.27%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.11%55.67%55.73%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.671.711.711.7459.88%58.58%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Zachary Svajda (Local): 44.34%; Denis Shapovalov (Visit): 55.66%. For Zachary Svajda (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -2.45%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-01 17:19
BetOnline.ag	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-01 20:55
LowVig.ag	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.45%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-01 20:54
Pinnacle	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.27%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-01 15:30
Bovada	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-01 15:23
PointsBet (AU)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.94%E -3.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-01 15:24
Betr (AU)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.94%E -3.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-01 17:20
Marathon Bet	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -5.55%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-01 16:19
Betway	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.88%E -3.28%K -6.25%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.38%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-01 15:24
BoyleSports	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.10%E -4.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-01 16:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%	3.9%	2026-08-01 22:15