Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zachary Svajda v Denis Shapovalov

Início: 2026-08-04 17:01 UTC

Final: Zachary Svajda 1–1 Denis Shapovalov

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Zachary Svajda (Local)

Previsão 41.89%2.39odd justa
EV -0.296%
Vantagem -0.124%
Kelly -0.214%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.20%41.93%41.86%43.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.182.262.272.3845.87%44.26%44.05%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Denis Shapovalov (Visitante)

Previsão 58.11%1.72odd justa
EV -0.636%
Vantagem -0.372%
Kelly -0.896%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.33%58.07%58.14%59.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.631.621.7164.52%61.24%61.73%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Zachary Svajda (Local): 41.89%; Denis Shapovalov (Visitante): 58.11%. Para Zachary Svajda (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.39. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.38, com valor esperado de -0.296%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.296%E -0.124%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:54
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.55%E -0.661%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.55%E -0.661%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 16:30
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.23%E -1.40%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:49
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:30
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:10
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 12:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.61%E -4.79%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.93%E -6.41%K -18.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.07%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.38%E -1.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.38%E -1.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 16:29
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.22%E -0.716%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 16:54
ReBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:09
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:09
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:10
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -0.636%E -0.372%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 12:09
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:39
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:10
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.58%E -2.95%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 12:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:45
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:50
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.54%E -2.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 13:35
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.45%E -4.00%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 16:48
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 16:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 13:39
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 13:39
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.77%E -5.59%K -15.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -8.67%E -3.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -1.80%E -1.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 14:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-04 16:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-04 16:55
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-08-04 16:50
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-08-04 16:55
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.8%2026-08-04 16:55