默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zachary Svajda v Denis Shapovalov

开赛时间: 2026-08-04 17:01 UTC

最终结果: Zachary Svajda 1–1 Denis Shapovalov

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zachary Svajda (主队)

预测 41.89%2.39公平赔率
EV -0.296%
优势 -0.124%
Kelly -0.214%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
40.20%41.93%41.86%43.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.182.262.272.3845.87%44.26%44.05%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Denis Shapovalov (客队)

预测 58.11%1.72公平赔率
EV -0.636%
优势 -0.372%
Kelly -0.896%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
56.33%58.07%58.14%59.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.631.621.7164.52%61.24%61.73%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Zachary Svajda (主队):41.89%;Denis Shapovalov (客队):58.11%。 对于“Zachary Svajda (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.39。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.38,期望值为-0.296%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.296%E -0.124%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:54
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.55%E -0.661%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.55%E -0.661%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 16:30
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.23%E -1.40%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:49
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 16:30
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:10
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 12:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.61%E -4.79%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.93%E -6.41%K -18.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.07%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.38%E -1.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.38%E -1.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 16:29
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 12:20
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.22%E -0.716%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 16:54
ReBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:09
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:09
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.90%E -2.16%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:10
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -0.636%E -0.372%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 12:09
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.28%E -3.24%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 08:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:39
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:10
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.74%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -6.58%E -2.95%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 12:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:45
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:50
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.96%E -1.77%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 08:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.54%E -2.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.12%E -2.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.70%E -2.87%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 13:35
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.87%E -3.62%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.45%E -4.00%K -10.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 16:48
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 16:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 13:39
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.03%E -4.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 13:39
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.77%E -5.59%K -15.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-04 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -8.67%E -3.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -1.80%E -1.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 14:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-04 16:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-08-04 16:55
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-08-04 16:50
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-08-04 16:55
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.8%2026-08-04 16:55