Language:English
Zachary Svajda v Arthur Fils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV +3.35%
Edge +0.894%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%27.54%27.52%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.453.7531.25%28.84%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visit)
Prediction 72.44%1.38fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -8.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.64%72.46%72.48%74.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.68%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zachary Svajda (Local): 27.56%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 72.44%. For Zachary Svajda (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.35%E +0.894%K +1.22%G +0.041% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 13:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV +1.42%E +0.387%K +0.531%G +0.008% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.782%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.782%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 17:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.782%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.73%E -6.93%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.99%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 17:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.99%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 10:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.99%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -4.09%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 17:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 11:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.00%E -6.30%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.40%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 10:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.20% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.80% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |