Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zachary Svajda v Arthur Fils

2026-08-05 16:10 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zachary Svajda (Local)

Prediction 24.69%4.05fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.304%
Kelly +0.402%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%24.91%24.75%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.754.1028.57%26.63%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Visit)

Prediction 75.31%1.33fair odd
EV -0.596%
Edge -0.452%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.22%75.09%75.25%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.261.3281.97%79.18%79.37%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Zachary Svajda (Local): 24.69%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 75.31%. For Zachary Svajda (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.10, producing a positive expected value of +1.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.25%E +0.304%K +0.402%G +0.005%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 00:25
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.25%E +0.304%K +0.402%G +0.005%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:25
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -1.22%E -0.306%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 00:30
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.22%E -0.306%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 00:25
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.22%E -0.306%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:25
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.22%E -0.306%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:24
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.46%E -0.622%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 00:25
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.69%E -0.947%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:25
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.69%E -0.947%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:24
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.69%E -0.947%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 00:25
1xBet3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 01:20
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.17%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:20
GTbets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%EV -0.596%E -0.452%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 23:15
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 00:25
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 00:24
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 00:25
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 00:15
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.13%E -6.66%K -36.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 00:24
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.86%E -2.21%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:20
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 01:44
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:24
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:24
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.87%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:24
Unibet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.87%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:25
ReBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.87%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 00:24
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.86%E -2.21%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:10
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.86%E -2.21%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:09
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.86%E -2.21%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.86%E -2.21%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 01:20
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 01:20
betano_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 00:24
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 00:25
DraftKings3.59I 27.86%NM 26.58%EV -11.35%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.42%EV -2.10%E -1.62%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:20
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 00:22
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -7.37%E -5.99%K -32.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 00:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%2.5%2026-08-05 01:35
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%4.3%2026-08-05 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%6.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%6.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%9.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 22.91%1.07I 93.46%NM 77.09%21.2%2026-08-05 01:40