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Zachary Svajda v Arthur Fils
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Zachary Svajda (Хозяева)
Прогноз 27.56%3.63справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.35%
Преимущество +0.894%
Kelly +1.22%
Рост +0.041%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.60%27.54%27.52%29.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.473.453.7531.25%28.84%28.99%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Arthur Fils (Гости)
Прогноз 72.44%1.38справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.93%
Преимущество -2.19%
Kelly -8.62%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.34
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
70.64%72.46%72.48%74.40%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.68%76.92%74.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Zachary Svajda (Хозяева): 27.56%; Arthur Fils (Гости): 72.44%. Для исхода «Zachary Svajda (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.63. 16 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.35%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.35%E +0.894%K +1.22%G +0.041% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 13:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV +1.42%E +0.387%K +0.531%G +0.008% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.782%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.782%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 17:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.782%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.73%E -6.93%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.99%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 17:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.99%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 10:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.99%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -4.09%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 17:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 11:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.00%E -6.30%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.40%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 10:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:13 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.20% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.80% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |