Idioma:Español
Zachary Svajda v Arthur Fils
Resultado del partido
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Predicción 24.69%4.05momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.304%
Kelly +0.402%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.22%24.91%24.75%26.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.763.754.1028.57%26.63%26.67%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 75.31%1.33momio equitativo
EV -0.596%
Ventaja -0.452%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.22%75.09%75.25%76.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.261.261.3281.97%79.20%79.37%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Zachary Svajda (Local): 24.69%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 75.31%. Para Zachary Svajda (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.05. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.10, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.25%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.25%E +0.304%K +0.402%G +0.005% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.25%E +0.304%K +0.402%G +0.005% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -1.22%E -0.306%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.22%E -0.306%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.22%E -0.306%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.22%E -0.306%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.46%E -0.622%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.69%E -0.947%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.69%E -0.947%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.69%E -0.947%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| 1xBet | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -5.17%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| GTbets | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%EV -0.596%E -0.452%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| Betway | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.13%E -6.66%K -36.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.86%E -2.21%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 01:44 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| theScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| Coral | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.87%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.87%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| ReBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.87%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.86%E -2.21%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.86%E -2.21%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.86%E -2.21%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.86%E -2.21%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 01:20 |
| betano_uk | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 00:24 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.87%E -4.69%K -23.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 00:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.58%EV -11.35%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.42%EV -2.10%E -1.62%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| TAB | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 00:22 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -7.37%E -5.99%K -32.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-05 00:23 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 02:45 |
| ProphetX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 02:35 |
| Matchbook | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.79% | 14.7% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.79% | 14.7% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.21% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 75.79% | 14.7% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.91% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 77.09% | 21.2% | 2026-08-05 02:10 |