Idioma:Español
Zachary Svajda v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Predicción 27.56%3.63momio equitativo
EV +3.35%
Ventaja +0.894%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.60%27.54%27.52%29.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.453.7531.25%28.84%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 72.44%1.38momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -8.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.64%72.46%72.48%74.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.301.301.3479.37%76.68%76.92%74.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zachary Svajda (Local): 27.56%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 72.44%. Para Zachary Svajda (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.63. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.35%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.35%E +0.894%K +1.22%G +0.041% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 13:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +1.97%E +0.533%K +0.731%G +0.014% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV +1.42%E +0.387%K +0.531%G +0.008% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.782%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.782%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 17:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -0.782%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.73%E -6.93%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.99%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 17:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.99%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 10:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.99%E -0.849%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -4.09%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 17:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 11:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.00%E -6.30%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.40%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.10%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.55%E -5.08%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 10:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 10:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:11 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.48%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 16:13 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.20% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.80% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |