Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Terence Atmane v Jakub Mensik

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 22:37 UTC

Final: Terence Atmane 0–2 Jakub Mensik

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Terence Atmane (Local)

Prediction 35.28%2.83fair odd
EV -0.501%
Edge -0.178%
Kelly -0.275%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%35.42%35.25%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.602.8240.00%37.97%38.46%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Visit)

Prediction 64.72%1.55fair odd
EV -0.983%
Edge -0.643%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.58%64.75%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.5371.43%67.32%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Terence Atmane (Local): 35.28%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 64.72%. For Terence Atmane (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.82, with an expected value of -0.501%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV -0.501%E -0.178%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 21:51
BetOnline.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.27%E -0.818%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.27%E -0.818%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 21:30
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:09
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:10
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:10
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 15:10
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:05
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 19:05
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 18:05
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:05
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 10:55
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:05
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 12:25
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.85%E -2.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 21:11
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 18:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 21:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.91%E -3.03%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:09
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:45
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:46
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:46
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:46
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 21:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 21:40
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 21:43
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 21:40
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 21:45
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 21:40
SportsBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -11.09%E -4.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.63%E -1.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 21:55
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.63%E -1.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 21:45
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:40
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-07 21:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-07 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-07 21:46
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-07 21:40
Novig2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-08-07 21:55
ProphetX2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-08-07 21:40
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.3%2026-08-07 21:40