Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Terence Atmane v Jakub Mensik

Início: 2026-08-07 22:37 UTC

Final: Terence Atmane 0–2 Jakub Mensik

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Terence Atmane (Local)

Previsão 35.28%2.83odd justa
EV -0.501%
Vantagem -0.178%
Kelly -0.275%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.05%35.42%35.25%37.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.632.602.8240.00%37.97%38.46%35.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jakub Mensik (Visitante)

Previsão 64.72%1.55odd justa
EV -0.983%
Vantagem -0.643%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.03%64.58%64.75%65.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.491.501.5371.43%67.32%66.67%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Terence Atmane (Local): 35.28%; Jakub Mensik (Visitante): 64.72%. Para Terence Atmane (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.83. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.82, com valor esperado de -0.501%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV -0.501%E -0.178%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 21:51
BetOnline.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.27%E -0.818%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.27%E -0.818%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-07 21:30
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-07 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:09
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:10
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:10
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 14:20
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 15:10
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:05
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 19:05
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 18:05
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:05
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 10:55
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 21:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:05
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 12:25
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.85%E -2.60%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 21:11
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 18:00
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 21:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.91%E -3.03%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:09
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:45
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:46
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 20:46
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:46
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 21:45
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 21:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 21:40
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 21:43
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 21:40
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 21:45
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 21:40
SportsBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -11.09%E -4.40%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 21:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.63%E -1.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 21:55
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.63%E -1.07%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 21:45
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:40
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 21:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 21:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-07 21:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-07 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-07 21:46
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-08-07 21:40
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-08-07 21:55
ProphetX◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-08-07 21:40
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.3%2026-08-07 21:40