Idioma:Español
Terence Atmane v Jakub Mensik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Terence Atmane (Local)
Predicción 35.28%2.83momio equitativo
EV -0.501%
Ventaja -0.178%
Kelly -0.275%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.05%35.42%35.25%37.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.632.602.8240.00%37.97%38.46%35.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Predicción 64.72%1.55momio equitativo
EV -0.983%
Ventaja -0.643%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%64.58%64.75%65.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.501.5371.43%67.32%66.67%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Terence Atmane (Local): 35.28%; Jakub Mensik (Visitante): 64.72%. Para Terence Atmane (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.83. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.82, con un valor esperado de -0.501%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%EV -0.501%E -0.178%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 21:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.27%E -0.818%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.27%E -0.818%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 21:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 21:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -2.97%E -1.08%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.10%E -5.71%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 12:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.74%E -1.75%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.40%E -6.71%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.87%E -3.31%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.51%E -3.78%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 21:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.50%E -2.45%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.81%E -4.73%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 12:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.85%E -2.60%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.28%E -1.51%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 21:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.56%E -2.88%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.91%E -3.03%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -3.57%E -2.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 20:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 20:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 21:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.26%E -3.18%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.16%E -4.25%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -10.03%E -3.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -11.09%E -4.40%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.983%E -0.643%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.63%E -1.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.63%E -1.07%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.92%E -1.95%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.79%E -4.72%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.22%E -2.85%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 21:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 21:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 21:46 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 21:40 |