Language:English
Tallon Griekspoor v Matteo Arnaldi
Head to Head
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Prediction 58.18%1.72fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%58.17%58.18%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.641.6864.52%61.27%60.98%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Visit)
Prediction 41.82%2.39fair odd
EV -0.475%
Edge -0.200%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.83%41.82%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.232.3847.62%44.64%44.84%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 58.18%; Matteo Arnaldi (Visit): 41.82%. For Matteo Arnaldi (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.38, with an expected value of -0.475%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 12:31 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.66%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.66%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 12:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.16%E -3.17%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.07%E -2.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.16%E -3.17%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.16%E -3.17%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.98%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 10:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 12:37 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 10:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.73%E -0.736%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 06:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.33%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.07%E -5.11%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.65%E -5.51%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.475%E -0.200%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 06:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.65%E -5.51%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.65%E -5.51%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-06 10:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.23%E -5.92%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.98%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.82%E -6.33%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.18%E -5.80%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 12:50 |