Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.84
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Tallon Griekspoor (Casa): 64.73%; Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta): 35.27%. Per Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.836. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.840, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.156%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV +0.156%E +0.055%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -5.49%E -3.76%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -0.549%E -0.195%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.55%E -2.38%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.25%E -0.448%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.25%E -0.448%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.25%E -0.448%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.25%E -0.448%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.55%E -2.38%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.31%E -0.835%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.49%E -3.76%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.31%E -0.835%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.55%E -2.38%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.08%E -1.50%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -4.43%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.43%E -5.20%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.84%E -2.19%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -1.60%E -1.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:56 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.08%E -5.69%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.90%E -1.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.25%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.25%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -0.958%E -0.626%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:21 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 16:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 16:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -1.60%E -1.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.90%E -1.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.958%E -0.626%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.90%E -1.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.90%E -1.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 13:44 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 16:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |