Idioma:Español
Tallon Griekspoor v Matteo Arnaldi
Resultado del partido
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Predicción 58.18%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -3.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.70%58.17%58.18%60.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.651.6864.52%61.24%60.79%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante)
Predicción 41.82%2.39momio equitativo
EV -0.475%
Ventaja -0.200%
Kelly -0.344%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.83%41.82%43.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.232.3847.62%44.66%44.84%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 58.18%; Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante): 41.82%. Para Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.39. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.38, con un valor esperado de -0.475%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.25%E -1.34%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 12:31 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.83%E -1.70%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.00%E -2.42%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.75%E -3.03%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 09:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.66%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.66%E -2.04%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 12:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.58%E -2.79%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.16%E -3.17%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.07%E -2.24%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.16%E -3.17%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.16%E -3.17%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 11:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.98%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 10:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 12:37 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.74%E -3.55%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 10:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.33%E -3.93%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.73%E -0.736%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 06:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.33%E -2.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.91%E -4.32%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.07%E -5.11%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.65%E -5.51%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.475%E -0.200%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 06:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.65%E -5.51%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.65%E -5.51%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-06 10:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -9.23%E -5.92%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -2.98%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.82%E -6.33%K -17.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.18%E -5.80%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-06 11:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40% | 9.2% | 2026-08-06 13:00 |