Idioma:Español
Tallon Griekspoor v Matteo Arnaldi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Predicción 64.73%1.54momio equitativo
EV -0.958%
Ventaja -0.626%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%64.64%64.75%66.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.471.471.5370.42%68.14%68.03%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante)
Predicción 35.27%2.84momio equitativo
EV +0.156%
Ventaja +0.055%
Kelly +0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.96%35.36%35.25%37.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.672.652.8440.00%37.43%37.74%35.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 64.73%; Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante): 35.27%. Para Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.836. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.840, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.156%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV +0.156%E +0.055%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -5.49%E -3.76%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -0.549%E -0.195%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.55%E -2.38%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.25%E -0.448%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.25%E -0.448%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.25%E -0.448%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.25%E -0.448%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.55%E -2.38%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.31%E -0.835%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.49%E -3.76%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.31%E -0.835%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.55%E -2.38%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.08%E -1.50%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -4.43%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.43%E -5.20%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.84%E -2.19%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -1.60%E -1.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 16:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.84%E -3.29%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 14:56 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.08%E -5.69%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -2.90%E -1.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -7.25%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.25%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -0.958%E -0.626%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.19%E -2.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 16:21 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.14%E -4.23%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 16:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.78%E -4.71%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 16:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -1.60%E -1.06%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.90%E -1.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.958%E -0.626%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.90%E -1.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 12:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.90%E -1.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 13:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 16:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.8% | 2026-08-07 16:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |