StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar v Brandon Nakashima

Matchstart: 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Rafael Jodar 0–2 Brandon Nakashima

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rafael Jodar (Hemma)

Prognos 67.99%1.47rättvist odds
EV -2.09%
Fördel -1.45%
Kelly -4.75%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.95%67.97%68.13%69.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.18%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Brandon Nakashima (Borta)

Prognos 32.01%3.12rättvist odds
EV -0.782%
Fördel -0.252%
Kelly -0.372%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.34%32.03%31.87%34.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.932.903.1036.36%34.17%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rafael Jodar (Hemma): 67.99%; Brandon Nakashima (Borta): 32.01%. För Brandon Nakashima (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.12. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.10, med väntevärdet -0.782%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 20:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-12 21:40
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-12 21:29
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 21:34
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.62%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 21:30
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -6.54%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 14:00
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:58
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 21:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 20:59
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 21:55
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.98%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.13%E -2.93%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 21:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.13%E -2.93%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 21:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.34%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:34
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:33
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:35
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:49
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.58%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.90%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 21:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:55
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 20:59
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 20:55
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 20:57
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 20:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 20:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 21:09
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.14%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.14%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 20:59
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 21:09
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 21:29
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:30
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:49
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.782%E -0.252%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 21:35
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 21:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -6.54%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 21:34
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 21:55
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.782%E -0.252%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 21:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-08-12 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-08-12 21:55
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39%0.5%2026-08-12 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-12 21:55
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-12 21:55
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-08-12 21:55
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-08-12 21:55