Język:Polski
Rafael Jodar v Brandon Nakashima
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 67.99%1.47kurs godziwy
EV -2.09%
Przewaga -1.45%
Kelly -4.75%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.44
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.95%67.97%68.13%69.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.18%71.43%69.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Brandon Nakashima (Goście)
Prognoza 32.01%3.12kurs godziwy
EV -0.782%
Przewaga -0.252%
Kelly -0.372%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.34%32.03%31.87%34.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.932.903.1036.36%34.17%34.48%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze): 67.99%; Brandon Nakashima (Goście): 32.01%. Dla wyniku Brandon Nakashima (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.12. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.10, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.782%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 20:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-12 21:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.62%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -6.54%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:58 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.98%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.13%E -2.93%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.13%E -2.93%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.34%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:33 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.58%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.90%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 20:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 20:57 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.14%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.14%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.782%E -0.252%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 21:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -6.54%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.782%E -0.252%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |