Язык:Русский
Rafael Jodar v Brandon Nakashima
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Rafael Jodar (Хозяева)
Прогноз 67.99%1.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.09%
Преимущество -1.45%
Kelly -4.75%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.44
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.95%67.97%68.13%69.66%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.18%71.43%69.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Brandon Nakashima (Гости)
Прогноз 32.01%3.12справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.782%
Преимущество -0.252%
Kelly -0.372%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.34%32.03%31.87%34.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.932.903.1036.36%34.17%34.48%32.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Rafael Jodar (Хозяева): 67.99%; Brandon Nakashima (Гости): 32.01%. Для исхода «Brandon Nakashima (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.12. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.10, математическое ожидание — -0.782%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 20:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-12 21:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.62%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -6.54%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:58 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.98%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 22:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.13%E -2.93%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.13%E -2.93%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.34%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:33 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.58%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.90%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 20:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 20:57 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.14%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.14%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 20:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.782%E -0.252%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 21:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 21:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -6.54%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.782%E -0.252%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |