Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar v Brandon Nakashima

Início: 2026-08-12 22:00 UTC

Final: Rafael Jodar 0–2 Brandon Nakashima

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Previsão 67.99%1.47odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -4.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.95%67.97%68.13%69.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.18%71.43%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Brandon Nakashima (Visitante)

Previsão 32.01%3.12odd justa
EV -0.782%
Vantagem -0.252%
Kelly -0.372%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.34%32.03%31.87%34.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.932.903.1036.36%34.17%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rafael Jodar (Local): 67.99%; Brandon Nakashima (Visitante): 32.01%. Para Brandon Nakashima (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.12. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.10, com valor esperado de -0.782%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 20:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.09%E -1.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%EV -2.77%E -1.94%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-12 21:40
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-12 21:29
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 21:34
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -4.62%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 21:30
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -6.54%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 14:00
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:58
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 21:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 20:59
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 21:55
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.45%E -2.43%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.98%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.13%E -2.93%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 21:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.13%E -2.93%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 21:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.34%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:34
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:33
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:35
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:49
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.58%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.90%E -2.01%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 21:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:55
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 20:59
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 20:55
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 20:57
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 20:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 20:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 21:09
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.14%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.14%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 20:59
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.81%E -3.43%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.38%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 21:09
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 21:29
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:30
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.49%E -3.95%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 21:49
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.782%E -0.252%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 21:35
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.17%E -4.47%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.18%E -2.48%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 21:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -2.38%E -0.781%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.85%E -5.00%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 21:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -6.54%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 21:34
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 21:55
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.53%E -5.54%K -20.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.82%E -2.72%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.21%E -6.08%K -23.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -0.782%E -0.252%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 21:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-08-12 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-08-12 21:55
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39%0.5%2026-08-12 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-08-12 21:55
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-08-12 21:55
ProphetX◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-08-12 21:55
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-08-12 21:55