Language:English
Miomir Kecmanovic v Arthur Rinderknech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miomir Kecmanovic (Local)
Prediction 52.56%1.90fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.743%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.34%52.27%52.63%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.791.801.9358.48%55.80%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visit)
Prediction 47.44%2.11fair odd
EV -0.368%
Edge -0.175%
Kelly -0.335%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%47.73%47.37%50.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.012.002.1053.48%49.72%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miomir Kecmanovic (Local): 52.56%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visit): 47.44%. For Miomir Kecmanovic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +1.43%E +0.743%K +1.54%G +0.022% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -10.81%E -5.75%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.383%E +0.200%K +0.421%G +0.002% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.38%E -4.91%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.920%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.28%E -6.03%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -3.30%E -1.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -2.27%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.30%E -1.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.74%E -1.34%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.30%E -1.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 11:13 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.38%E -4.91%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.35%E -2.39%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.22%E -1.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.74%E -1.34%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.74%E -1.34%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.06%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.06%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.01%E -3.58%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.01%E -3.58%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 12:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.86%E -5.19%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.92%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.16%E -2.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.45%E -3.62%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.45%E -3.62%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.98%E -3.94%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.16%E -2.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 14:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 14:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.368%E -0.175%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -10.13%E -5.92%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -3.22%E -1.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |