StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miomir Kecmanovic v Arthur Rinderknech

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-05 17:10 UTC

Endstand: Miomir Kecmanovic 1–2 Arthur Rinderknech

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Miomir Kecmanovic (Heim)

Prognose 52.56%1.90faire Quote
EV +1.43%
Vorteil +0.743%
Kelly +1.54%
Wachstum +0.022%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.93

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
49.34%52.27%52.63%54.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.711.791.801.9358.48%55.80%55.56%51.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts)

Prognose 47.44%2.11faire Quote
EV -0.368%
Vorteil -0.175%
Kelly -0.335%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.31%47.73%47.37%50.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.872.012.002.1053.48%49.72%50.00%47.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Miomir Kecmanovic (Heim): 52.56%; Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts): 47.44%. Für Miomir Kecmanovic (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.90. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.93 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.43%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +1.43%E +0.743%K +1.54%G +0.022%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -10.81%E -5.75%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.383%E +0.200%K +0.421%G +0.002%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.38%E -4.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 12:40
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.920%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.28%E -6.03%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 12:09
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -3.30%E -1.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -2.27%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 15:45
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.30%E -1.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.74%E -1.34%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.30%E -1.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 15:35
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 15:34
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 15:35
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 11:13
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.38%E -4.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.35%E -2.39%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 15:35
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.22%E -1.58%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 15:35
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 15:35
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.74%E -1.34%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.74%E -1.34%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 11:15
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 15:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 15:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 15:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 12:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 15:30
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.06%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.06%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 12:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.01%E -3.58%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.01%E -3.58%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 12:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.86%E -5.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.92%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.16%E -2.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.45%E -3.62%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.45%E -3.62%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.98%E -3.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.16%E -2.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:48
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-05 14:34
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-05 14:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.368%E -0.175%K -0.335%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -10.13%E -5.92%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -3.22%E -1.58%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 14:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-05 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-05 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-05 16:50
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-05 16:55
ProphetX◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-08-05 16:55
Novig◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.5%2026-08-05 16:55
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-08-05 16:40