Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miomir Kecmanovic v Arthur Rinderknech

2026-08-05 16:10 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miomir Kecmanovic (Local)

Predicción 49.90%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.604%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.03%49.72%50.00%51.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.911.911.9854.05%52.45%52.36%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)

Predicción 50.10%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%50.28%50.00%51.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.871.9555.56%53.33%53.48%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Miomir Kecmanovic (Local): 49.90%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante): 50.10%. Para Miomir Kecmanovic (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.00. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.98, con un valor esperado de -1.20%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -1.20%E -0.604%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -7.82%E -4.25%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 08:14
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -1.20%E -0.604%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 06:04
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 15:04
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.69%E -1.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 10:29
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 14:49
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.81%E -1.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 09:24
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 19:15
FanDuel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 08:15
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.82%E -3.66%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:29
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.82%E -3.66%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 10:30
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:29
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:29
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:30
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:30
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:30
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:29
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:29
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:30
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:30
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:30
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 10:29
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.19%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 09:24
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.19%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:14
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 08:15
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 12:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:45
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 09:25
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 17:14
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 16:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 19:20
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:53
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 08:13
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 08:14
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.81%E -1.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 15:55
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.81%E -1.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 15:55
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:55
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.82%E -5.46%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 15:58
Unibet (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.69%E -3.01%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.69%E -3.01%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 16:58
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.69%E -3.01%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 19:20
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -5.69%E -3.01%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -8.82%E -4.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 10:30
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.81%E -1.98%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:15
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 09:25
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 08:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:55
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 21:25
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 12:09
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 15:04
betano_uk1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 15:20
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 15:18
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 22:14
ReBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.18%E -3.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 15:54
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.31%E -1.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:10
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.31%E -1.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 22:10
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 15:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 09:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-08-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-08-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-08-05 00:10
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-08-05 00:10
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-08-05 00:10
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%4.2%2026-08-05 00:05