Idioma:Español
Miomir Kecmanovic v Arthur Rinderknech
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miomir Kecmanovic (Local)
Predicción 52.56%1.90momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.743%
Kelly +1.54%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.34%52.27%52.63%54.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.791.801.9358.48%55.80%55.56%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)
Predicción 47.44%2.11momio equitativo
EV -0.368%
Ventaja -0.175%
Kelly -0.335%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%47.73%47.37%50.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.872.012.002.1053.48%49.72%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miomir Kecmanovic (Local): 52.56%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante): 47.44%. Para Miomir Kecmanovic (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.90. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.93, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.43%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +1.43%E +0.743%K +1.54%G +0.022% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -10.81%E -5.75%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.383%E +0.200%K +0.421%G +0.002% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.38%E -4.91%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.920%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.28%E -6.03%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -3.30%E -1.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -2.27%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.30%E -1.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.74%E -1.34%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.30%E -1.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 11:13 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.82%E -2.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.38%E -4.91%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.35%E -2.39%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.22%E -1.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.64%E -2.31%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.87%E -2.69%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.74%E -1.34%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.74%E -1.34%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.06%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.06%E -3.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.01%E -3.58%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.01%E -3.58%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 12:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.40%E -3.00%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.86%E -5.19%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.92%E -3.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.16%E -2.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.45%E -3.62%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.45%E -3.62%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.11%E -2.56%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.98%E -3.94%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -4.16%E -2.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 16:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 14:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.03%E -4.59%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.48%E -3.84%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 14:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -0.368%E -0.175%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -8.55%E -4.91%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -1.32%E -0.633%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -10.13%E -5.92%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -3.22%E -1.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 14:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-08-05 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 16:40 |