Language:English
Learner Tien v Ben Shelton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Learner Tien (Local)
Prediction 34.59%2.89fair odd
EV +4.11%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.084%
assuming max odds 3.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.90%34.61%34.48%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.753.0138.46%36.39%36.36%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visit)
Prediction 65.41%1.53fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%65.39%65.52%68.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.24%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Learner Tien (Local): 34.59%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 65.41%. For Learner Tien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV +4.11%E +1.36%K +2.04%G +0.084% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.77%E -5.51%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +3.07%E +1.03%K +1.55%G +0.048% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.77%E -5.51%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +2.03%E +0.689%K +1.04%G +0.021% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.11%E -5.01%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +1.34%E +0.457%K +0.694%G +0.009% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -0.736%E -0.256%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.08%E -0.378%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-12 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.43%E -0.501%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-12 22:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.43%E -0.501%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 22:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 17:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.11%E -5.01%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 19:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -3.50%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.19%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 19:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 19:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.04%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.11%E -5.01%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.77%E -5.51%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 19:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.88%E -1.25%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 00:27 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.69%E -3.29%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 10:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.88%E -1.25%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:28 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 03:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 14:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-12 19:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-12 19:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.42%E -6.02%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-13 00:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 1.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |