Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien v Ben Shelton

Início: 2026-08-13 00:30 UTC

Final: Learner Tien 0–2 Ben Shelton

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Learner Tien (Local)

Previsão 34.59%2.89odd justa
EV +4.11%
Vantagem +1.36%
Kelly +2.04%
Crescimento +0.084%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.90%34.61%34.48%36.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.752.753.0138.46%36.39%36.36%33.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Previsão 65.41%1.53odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -3.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.59%65.39%65.52%68.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.24%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Learner Tien (Local): 34.59%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 65.41%. Para Learner Tien (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.89. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.01, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.11%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV +4.11%E +1.36%K +2.04%G +0.084%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.77%E -5.51%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 00:29
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +3.07%E +1.03%K +1.55%G +0.048%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.77%E -5.51%K -18.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 00:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +2.03%E +0.689%K +1.04%G +0.021%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.11%E -5.01%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 00:29
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +1.34%E +0.457%K +0.694%G +0.009%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-12 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -0.736%E -0.256%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.08%E -0.378%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.43%E -0.501%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 22:14
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.43%E -0.501%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 22:20
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 19:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 22:14
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 23:40
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 23:20
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:30
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:29
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:30
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:30
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:29
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:30
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.11%E -5.01%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 19:29
DraftKings🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -3.50%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 23:15
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.19%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 19:29
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 23:25
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 19:29
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 17:45
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 00:29
GTbets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.04%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 23:25
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 19:30
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 19:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 23:34
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 14:49
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 23:30
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 23:25
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 23:29
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.11%E -5.01%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 19:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.77%E -5.51%K -18.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 19:34
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.88%E -1.25%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 00:27
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.69%E -3.29%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 10:39
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.88%E -1.25%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 13:15
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 00:28
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 00:28
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 00:28
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 00:28
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 03:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 14:50
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 14:49
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 19:28
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 19:28
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.42%E -6.02%K -21.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-13 00:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-12 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-12 23:55
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-12 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-08-12 23:55
Novig◎3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84%1.0%2026-08-12 23:50
ProphetX◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-08-12 23:50
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.1%2026-08-12 23:50