Idioma:Español
Learner Tien v Ben Shelton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Learner Tien (Local)
Predicción 34.59%2.89momio equitativo
EV +4.11%
Ventaja +1.36%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.084%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.90%34.61%34.48%36.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.752.753.0138.46%36.39%36.36%33.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Predicción 65.41%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.59%65.39%65.52%68.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.24%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Learner Tien (Local): 34.59%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 65.41%. Para Learner Tien (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.89. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.01, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.11%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV +4.11%E +1.36%K +2.04%G +0.084% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -7.77%E -5.51%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +3.07%E +1.03%K +1.55%G +0.048% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.77%E -5.51%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +2.03%E +0.689%K +1.04%G +0.021% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.11%E -5.01%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV +1.34%E +0.457%K +0.694%G +0.009% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -0.736%E -0.256%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.08%E -0.378%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-12 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.43%E -0.501%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-12 22:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.43%E -0.501%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-12 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 22:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 17:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.16%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.11%E -5.01%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 19:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -3.50%E -1.26%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.19%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.84%E -2.61%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 19:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 19:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.89%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.37%EV -5.58%E -2.04%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.50%E -3.08%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 23:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.15%E -3.55%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 23:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.46%E -4.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.11%E -5.01%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.62%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.77%E -5.51%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 19:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.88%E -1.25%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-13 00:27 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.34%E -3.15%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -8.69%E -3.29%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 10:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.88%E -1.25%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.38%E -3.58%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:28 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 03:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.19%E -2.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 14:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-12 19:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.81%E -4.03%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-12 19:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.07%E -3.87%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.42%E -6.02%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-13 00:28 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 1.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |