Language:English
Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Hamad Medjedovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)
Prediction 38.79%2.58fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.897%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.93%38.95%38.79%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.402.5243.48%41.49%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hamad Medjedovic (Visit)
Prediction 61.21%1.63fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%61.05%61.21%62.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.561.571.6065.79%64.12%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local): 38.79%; Hamad Medjedovic (Visit): 61.21%. For Hamad Medjedovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -2.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.26%E -0.897%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 18:47 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 18:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 18:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.42%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.42%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.36%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.75%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 06:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 06:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 07:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 06:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 06:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 06:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 06:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 18:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.06%E -1.29%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 13:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.95%E -4.57%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 18:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 18:55 |
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