Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Hamad Medjedovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 18:58 UTC

Score final : Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2–0 Hamad Medjedovic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)

Prévision 38.79%2.58cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.897%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.93%38.95%38.79%40.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.412.402.5243.48%41.49%41.67%39.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.21%1.63cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -3.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.13%61.05%61.21%62.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.561.571.6065.79%64.12%63.69%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local) : 38.79% ; Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur) : 61.21%. Pour Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.63. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.60, pour une espérance de -2.06% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.26%E -0.897%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 18:47
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 18:49
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 18:54
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 18:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 18:54
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.42%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.42%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:55
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 08:15
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 18:50
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 18:49
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:55
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:19
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.36%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 13:04
DraftKings🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.75%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 13:19
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 07:44
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:55
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 18:55
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 08:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 09:05
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:55
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:55
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:55
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 12:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 16:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:50
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 09:05
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.06%E -1.29%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:54
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 13:09
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.95%E -4.57%K -13.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 17:45
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 18:34
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-04 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-04 18:50
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-04 18:50
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%1.5%2026-08-04 18:50
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.3%2026-08-04 18:45
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%3.2%2026-08-04 18:55