Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Hamad Medjedovic

Inizio: 2026-08-04 18:58 UTC

Finale: Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2–0 Hamad Medjedovic

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Casa)

Previsione 38.79%2.58quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -0.897%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.93%38.95%38.79%40.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.412.402.5243.48%41.49%41.67%39.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.21%1.63quota equa
EV -2.06%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -3.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.13%61.05%61.21%62.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.561.571.6065.79%64.12%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Casa): 38.79%; Hamad Medjedovic (Trasferta): 61.21%. Per Hamad Medjedovic (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.63. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.60, con un valore atteso del -2.06%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.26%E -0.897%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 18:47
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-04 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 18:49
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 18:54
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 18:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 18:54
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.42%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.42%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:55
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 08:15
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 18:50
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 18:49
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:55
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 16:19
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.98%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.36%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 13:04
DraftKings🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.75%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 13:19
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 07:44
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 18:55
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 18:55
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 08:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.92%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 09:05
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:55
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:55
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:55
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 12:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 16:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:50
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 09:05
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 18:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.06%E -1.29%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 18:54
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.28%E -2.08%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 13:09
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.95%E -4.57%K -13.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 17:45
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.67%E -1.68%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 18:34
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.34%E -4.14%K -11.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-04 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-04 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-04 18:50
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-04 18:50
ProphetX2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%1.5%2026-08-04 18:50
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.3%2026-08-04 18:45
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%3.2%2026-08-04 18:55