Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar v Rinky Hijikata

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 15:04 UTC

Final: Jaume Munar 2–0 Rinky Hijikata

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Prediction 55.16%1.81fair odd
EV -0.705%
Edge -0.392%
Kelly -0.882%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.88%54.99%55.12%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.96%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rinky Hijikata (Visit)

Prediction 44.84%2.23fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.618%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.01%44.88%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.56%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaume Munar (Local): 55.16%; Rinky Hijikata (Visit): 44.84%. For Jaume Munar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -0.705%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.705%E -0.392%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 14:59
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.705%E -0.392%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.43%E -4.67%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:59
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 13:05
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:34
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:29
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:29
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:54
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.19%E -3.47%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.40%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:24
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:15
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 11:40
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:45
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:59
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:49
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -1.81%E -0.826%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 14:53
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:39
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 12:53
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 11:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.19%E -3.47%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-02 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-02 15:00
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-08-02 15:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-08-02 15:00

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.