Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaume Munar v Rinky Hijikata

Início: 2026-08-02 15:04 UTC

Final: Jaume Munar 2–0 Rinky Hijikata

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Previsão 55.16%1.81odd justa
EV -0.705%
Vantagem -0.392%
Kelly -0.882%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.88%54.99%55.12%56.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.96%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rinky Hijikata (Visitante)

Previsão 44.84%2.23odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.618%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%45.01%44.88%47.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.56%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jaume Munar (Local): 55.16%; Rinky Hijikata (Visitante): 44.84%. Para Jaume Munar (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.81. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.80, com valor esperado de -0.705%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.705%E -0.392%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 14:59
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.705%E -0.392%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.43%E -4.67%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:59
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 13:05
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:34
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:29
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:29
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:54
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.19%E -3.47%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.40%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:24
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:15
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 11:40
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:45
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:59
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:49
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -1.81%E -0.826%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 14:53
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:39
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 12:53
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 11:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.19%E -3.47%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-02 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-02 15:00
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-08-02 15:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-08-02 15:00